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Back to Corporate Watch Report

23 January 2003

Northern Foods dives after woeful Christmas

Ingrid Mansell

The Times
January 16, 2003

NORTHERN FOODS saw almost £190 million wiped off its stock market value yesterday as investors bemoaned another disappointing Christmas trading period from the Hull-based food producer.

The company reported a worse than expected 2.9 per cent drop in sales to about £400 million and a slowdown in underlying retail sales growth to 2.5 per cent for the three months to December 31. This compared with underlying sales growth of 3.5 per cent in the preceding six months.

It was the second consecutive disappointing Christmas for Northern Foods. In 2001 the group suffered from a glut of late orders and from the inability of its factories to cope with demand. Last year the problem appeared to be a lack of demand. particularly for the company’s biscuits.

Jo Stewart, chief executive.said that while the fall in total sales could be attributed primarily to the company’s £145 million disposal of its Ski and Munch Bunch yoghurts businesses to Nestlé last year, the slowdown in underlying sales growth had been compounded by poor demand for the company’s biscuits.

Mr Stewart said that the performance of the Fox’s and Elkes brands, which account for about 12 per cent of total sales, were particularly worrying. Sales of the two brands fell 6 per cent compared with last time as the company lost market share to competitors including United Biscuits, Hicks Muse, which owns the Cadbury and Burton’s biscuit brands, Nestlé and Mars.

Mr Stewart said “intense competition” in biscuits had also hit the company’s margins. He did not see any relief until March at the earliest, when he expected high chocolate prices to force biscuit manufacturers to put up their prices. Cocoa prices attained a 17-year high last year after a disruption to supplies from the Ivory Coast, the world’s top producer.

In its trading update, Northern Foods said that underlying third-quarter sales to its five biggest customers — Marks & Spencer, Tesco, J Sainsbury, Asda and Safeway — which make up three quarters of its total sales, rose by 3.5 per cent after a 6 per cent increase in the group’s first half, against an 8 per cent rise for the same period the previous year. Mr Stewart declined to comment on the effect any consolidation among leading supermarkets would have on Northern Foods. He said it would be “ridiculous” for him to speculate on the implications of a tie-up between Safeway and the suitors Wm Morrison, JD Sainsbury or Asda.

“This is a very interesting time in food retailing, and we await developments,” he said.

Shares in Northern Foods closed 22 per cent lower at 123p yesterday

Ingrid Mansell